UN security council

Yemen - Cease fire ends today

AX INTEL BULLETIN: Yemen - Cease fire ends today
DATE: 23APR2020

The two-week cease-fire declared by Saudi Arabia on 09APR is due to expire on April 23, not coincidentally the anticipated start of the holy month of Ramadan. The Saudis asserted at the outset that they were motivated by a desire to re-focus energies on combatting the threat of coronavirus in Yemen…
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Yemen - Houthi gains put Marib at serious risk

AX INTEL ANALYSIS: Yemen - Houthi gains put Marib at serious risk
DATE: 16MAR2020

Just a week after Houthi rebels took control of al-Hazm, the capital of al-Jawf Province, on March 1, UN Special Envoy for Yemen Martin Griffiths paid an unprecedented, one-day visit to the Houthis’ likely next target, oil-and-gas-rich Marib, reiterating the urgent need for de-escalation. “Fighting needs to stop now,” Griffiths said in a joint press conference with Marib Governor Sheikh Sultan al-Aradah. “We will either silence the guns and resume the political process, or we will…
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Yemen - rise of non-state actors

AX INTEL ANALYSIS: Yemen - rise of non-state actors
DATE: 23DEC2019

Throughout 2019, non-state actors in Yemen were able to strategically improve their overall positions by using tactical military interventions and mediation efforts to their advantage. In the North, the Iran-backed Houthi militia, which overthrew the government of Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi in 2014, re-asserted their monopoly of violence over…
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Syrian political process at a standstill

AX INTEL BULLETIN: Syrian political process at a standstill
DATE: 29OCT2020

Following a rare summit in Istanbul on 27OCT, the leaders of Turkey, Russia, Germany, and France agreed to support existing UN-led efforts to form a constitutional committee by late 2018, as the first phase of “an inclusive, Syrian-led and Syrian-owned political process.”…
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U.S. - SecState's Moscow Visit Unlikely to Bridge Divide on Syria

AX INTEL BULLETIN: U.S. - SecState's Moscow Visit Unlikely to Bridge Divide on Syria
DATE: 21MAR2016

While the U.S.-Russian collaboration in Syria is a work-in-progress, no major breakthroughs should be expected from DOS Secretary of State John Kerry’s visit to Moscow. Both countries endorse political negotiations as the means to reaching a peace agreement in Syria, but they remain divided over…
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